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US power secretary Jennifer Granholm has warned that transitioning from fossil fuels will make power safety “infinitely extra complicated” due to China’s stranglehold on the processing of the vital minerals important for renewable energy.
China dominates the cobalt, uncommon earths and graphite industries, that are very important for renewable power, electrical vehicles and defence applied sciences. Its world market share for the refining of every of these three supplies exceeds 70 per cent.
“On this vital minerals context, we’re up towards a dominant provider that’s prepared to weaponise market energy for political achieve,” mentioned Granholm on Thursday, in remarks broadly interpreted as referring to Beijing’s energy.
“The gasoline of this power transition — vital minerals — goes to make world power safety infinitely extra complicated and infinitely extra essential over the subsequent few a long time,” she added on the Worldwide Vitality Company’s first ever vital minerals summit in Paris.
Western policymakers have turn out to be more and more involved about relying on geopolitical adversaries for the availability of commodities following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the ratcheting up of tensions between the US and China over Taiwan.
US president Joe Biden launched the $369tn Inflation Discount Act final yr to galvanise efforts to scale back reliance on Chinese language provide chains for clear power applied sciences.
The Division of Vitality and Division of Protection have poured billions of {dollars} of subsidies into accelerating the institution of mines and processing amenities domestically.
However shifting to electrical automobiles and renewable energy requires huge portions of lithium, copper and nickel. Assembly demand, whereas lowering reliance on China, would require vital funding from the slow-moving mining trade to spice up provide.
Copper alone requires $250bn of development capital by 2030 to satisfy demand, in line with Mike Henry, chief government of BHP, the world’s largest mining firm. So far, $40bn to $50bn has been spent on boosting provide.
China’s management additionally extends to mining the uncooked supplies for uncommon earths and graphite, creating even better challenges for western economies to pivot to different suppliers ought to relations with Beijing deteriorate.
China has displayed a willingness to politicise provide chains, introducing restrictions on key chipmaking supplies gallium and germanium in August in response to Dutch plans to restrict the sale of high-end semiconductor manufacturing tools to Chinese language corporations.
EU commissioner Thierry Breton adopted the US warning by stating that Brussels must reverse the pattern in the direction of relocating trade exterior of the bloc to decarbonise due to the “new geopolitics of provide chains”.
“We at the moment are clear within the EU that we can not change a fossil gasoline dependency with a uncooked materials one,” he mentioned. “We all know somebody can weaponise towards us these dependencies.
“We paid the excessive worth in Europe on this,” he added, referring to the prices related to EU member states having to chop their reliance on Russian oil and pure gasoline.
He added that the EU is within the technique of finalising vital mineral partnership offers with the Democratic Republic of Congo, Australia and others in a bid to diversify its sources of provide.
Regardless of the necessity to diversify vital mineral sourcing, the IEA present in a report revealed in July that vital minerals provide had actually grown by way of focus within the fingers of fewer international locations in recent times.